The written read
Same rules every day, so a quiet day reads quiet
The map
Skew against one-month return
Contrarian bid
Chase
Hedged rally
Fear
Watchlist
Thin chain: noise, never acted on
The card
Four verdicts, decided in advance
Written down once, so nothing gets re-argued at 4pm on a red day.
Ranked
Most interesting today
Disagreement ranks first. Agreement teaches you nothing a chart didn't.
A shortlist is not a trade. The level, the invalidation and the timing come off the chart, and that is a separate skill.
Sectors
Fear premium by group, in raw vol points
Raw points on purpose: dividing by ATM IV flatters low-vol sectors every single day.
Named, not hidden
What the board refused to believe
A system that hides what it couldn't cover is hiding the size of its own blind spot.
The sheet
Your universe
| ★ | Ticker | Sector | ATM IV | Put IV | Call IV | Skew | Pts | 1M % | vs SPY | RVOL | Earnings | Chain | Δ wk | Quadrant |
|---|
SPY 1M return:
%
The loop
Fifteen to twenty minutes, once a week
Open your broker's chain on one expiry rule for every name, no exceptions. Pull three numbers per name: ATM IV, put IV at your delta, call IV at the mirror delta. Add the 1M return and RVOL from any free screener, and the next earnings date so an event never masquerades as sentiment. Then press Save this week's snapshot: the level is structural, the change is the signal, and the change only exists if last week was saved. Six weeks in, the Δ column becomes the most honest thing on this page.
Seven decisions
The dials, and why each one exists
A number you didn't choose is a number you can't debug.
Seven decisions
The dials, and why each one exists
History
Saved snapshots
The step everyone skips, and the one that makes the whole thing work.